Vancouver Island · Today

Cox Bay

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 4:30 PM PDT

When to go

Around 7:00 PM

Windy · Low confidence

5.0–5.0 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 6.6 kt · cross-shore

Forecast details

This is the best time in the forecast, though wind may make it choppy.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

5:00 PM–6:00 PM · America/Vancouver
Unfavorable wind · up to 7.3 kt · reported gusts up to 14.2 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. The selected wind is unfavorable for this break.
Offshore waves: 4.9–4.9 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 4:30 PM PDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 2.8 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SSE 7.2 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellW 4.5 ft @ 8sValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/VancouverMarine grid 49.1250, -125.8750 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea4.9 ft @ 9.8sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Vancouver

Model windSSE 7.2 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Vancouver1.7 kt offshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast

Today Tonight and Wednesday. Seas 2 metres building to 2 to 3 near midnight then subsiding to 1 to 2 Wednesday evening.

Today Tonight and WednesdayOfficial significant combined wind-wave and swell height for the marine zone; not breaking surf. No wave period or direction is supplied.Issued Sep 22, 4:00 PM PDT

ECCC buoy La Perouse Bank · 46206 · 31 km from Cox Bay6.7 ft @ 11.8sMeasured significant wave height at the assigned ECCC/DFO offshore buoy; not breaking surf. The buoy does not supply wave direction on this page.Observed Sep 22, 4:00 PM PDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Cox Bay
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NW 4.6 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.6 ft @ 9s
1 AM	NW 4.4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.5 ft @ 9s
2 AM	NW 3.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.4 ft @ 9s
3 AM	NW 4.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.4 ft @ 9s
4 AM	NNE 3.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.2 ft @ 9s
5 AM	N 2.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.2 ft @ 9s
6 AM	WNW 1.9 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.1 ft @ 9s
7 AM	NNW 1.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.1 ft @ 9s
8 AM	ENE 2.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.1 ft @ 9s
9 AM	S 0.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.0 ft @ 9s
10 AM	SSW 1.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.0 ft @ 9s
11 AM	SSW 4.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.9 ft @ 8s
Noon	S 5.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.9 ft @ 8s
1 PM	S 7.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.7 ft @ 8s
2 PM	S 7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.7 ft @ 8s
3 PM	SSE 7.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.6 ft @ 8s
4 PM	S 7.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.5 ft @ 8s
5 PM	SSE 7.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.5 ft @ 8s
6 PM	SSE 7.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.5 ft @ 8s
7 PM	SSE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.5 ft @ 8s
8 PM	SSE 6.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.6 ft @ 8s
9 PM	SSE 5.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.7 ft @ 8s
10 PM	S 8.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.7 ft @ 8s
11 PM	SSW 5.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 4.8 ft @ 8s

12 AMUnavailable

WindNW 4.6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.6 ft @ 9s

1 AMUnavailable

WindNW 4.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.5 ft @ 9s

2 AMUnavailable

WindNW 3.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.4 ft @ 9s

3 AMUnavailable

WindNW 4.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.4 ft @ 9s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 3.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.2 ft @ 9s

5 AMUnavailable

WindN 2.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.2 ft @ 9s

6 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 1.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.1 ft @ 9s

7 AMUnavailable

WindNNW 1.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.1 ft @ 9s

8 AMUnavailable

WindENE 2.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.1 ft @ 9s

9 AMUnavailable

WindS 0.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.0 ft @ 9s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 1.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.0 ft @ 9s

11 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 4.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.9 ft @ 8s

NoonUnavailable

WindS 5.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.9 ft @ 8s

1 PMUnavailable

WindS 7.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.7 ft @ 8s

2 PMUnavailable

WindS 7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.7 ft @ 8s

3 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.6 ft @ 8s

4 PMUnavailable

WindS 7.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.5 ft @ 8s

5 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.5 ft @ 8s

6 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.5 ft @ 8s

7 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.5 ft @ 8s

8 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.6 ft @ 8s

9 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 5.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.7 ft @ 8s

10 PMUnavailable

WindS 8.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.7 ft @ 8s

11 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 5.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 4.8 ft @ 8s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach and point break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 49.1, -125.88.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 270° · Location provenance

Model request point: Cox Bay (49.1, -125.88). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 4/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · CANADA · spot-level model point

ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast
ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast; Official significant combined wind-wave and swell height for the marine zone; not breaking surf. No wave period or direction is supplied.CurrentSep 22, 4:00 PM PDT
ECCC buoy La Perouse Bank · 46206 · 31 km from Cox Bay
ECCC buoy La Perouse Bank · 46206 · 31 km from Cox Bay; Measured significant wave height at the assigned ECCC/DFO offshore buoy; not breaking surf. The buoy does not supply wave direction on this page.CurrentSep 22, 4:00 PM PDT
Canadian Hydrographic Service IWLS API
Tide predictions, water levels, and station metadata; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.