Gisborne and Hawkes Bay · Today

Makrorori

Updated Wed, Sep 23, 11:50 AM GMT+12

When to go

Around 5:00 PM

Strong wind — difficult conditions · Low confidence

6.2–6.2 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Strong wind: 16.4 kt · direction unavailable

Cautions

Strong wind or gusts up to 32.5 kt can make the session difficult; being first in the list does not make conditions good.

Forecast details

This is the best time in the forecast, though wind may make it choppy.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

1:00 PM–3:00 PM · Pacific/Auckland
Strong wind · up to 18.8 kt · reported gusts up to 33.0 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. Strong wind remains in the selected evidence.
Offshore waves: 5.8–6.2 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 23, 11:45 AM GMT+12. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 6.2 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SSW 18.3 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellS 2.8 ft @ 7sValid 2026-09-23 12:00 · Pacific/AucklandMarine grid -38.7083, 178.1250 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea5.7 ft @ 6.7sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 12:00 · Pacific/Auckland

Model windSSW 18.3 ktunavailableValid 2026-09-23 12:00 · Pacific/Auckland

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Makrorori
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	WSW 5.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.7 ft @ 5s
1 AM	WSW 4.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.6 ft @ 5s
2 AM	W 3.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.5 ft @ 5s
3 AM	WNW 3.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.4 ft @ 5s
4 AM	WNW 3.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.1 ft @ 5s
5 AM	NW 3.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.8 ft @ 6s
6 AM	NW 4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.5 ft @ 6s
7 AM	WNW 6.7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.4 ft @ 7s
8 AM	WSW 9.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.3 ft @ 7s
9 AM	SW 14.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.2 ft @ 7s
10 AM	SW 18.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.4 ft @ 7s
11 AM	SSW 20.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.6 ft @ 7s
Noon	SSW 18.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.8 ft @ 7s
1 PM	SSW 17.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.8 ft @ 7s
2 PM	SSW 18.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.8 ft @ 7s
3 PM	SSW 18.7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.8 ft @ 7s
4 PM	S 18.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 2.9 ft @ 7s
5 PM	S 16.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.0 ft @ 7s
6 PM	S 14.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.0 ft @ 7s
7 PM	S 15.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 3.5 ft @ 7s
8 PM	S 15.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 3.9 ft @ 7s
9 PM	S 14.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.4 ft @ 6s
10 PM	SSW 14 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.6 ft @ 6s
11 PM	SSW 13.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.9 ft @ 6s

12 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 5.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.7 ft @ 5s

1 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 4.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.6 ft @ 5s

2 AMUnavailable

WindW 3.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.5 ft @ 5s

3 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 3.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.4 ft @ 5s

4 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 3.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.1 ft @ 5s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNW 3.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.8 ft @ 6s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNW 4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.5 ft @ 6s

7 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 6.7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.4 ft @ 7s

8 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 9.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.3 ft @ 7s

9 AMUnavailable

WindSW 14.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.2 ft @ 7s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSW 18.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.4 ft @ 7s

11 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 20.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.6 ft @ 7s

NoonUnavailable

WindSSW 18.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.8 ft @ 7s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 17.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.8 ft @ 7s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 18.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.8 ft @ 7s

3 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 18.7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.8 ft @ 7s

4 PMUnavailable

WindS 18.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 2.9 ft @ 7s

5 PMUnavailable

WindS 16.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.0 ft @ 7s

6 PMUnavailable

WindS 14.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.0 ft @ 7s

7 PMUnavailable

WindS 15.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 3.5 ft @ 7s

8 PMUnavailable

WindS 15.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 3.9 ft @ 7s

9 PMUnavailable

WindS 14.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.4 ft @ 6s

10 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 14 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.6 ft @ 6s

11 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 13.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.9 ft @ 6s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach and reef break. Named North Makorori break coordinate. Coastline orientation remains unresolved; wind relationship is withheld.

Mapped spot coordinate: -38.6531, 178.1311.

North Island · Pacific Ocean · Coastline orientation unresolved · Location provenance

Model request point: Makrorori (-38.6531, 178.1311). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/6 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · NEW_ZEALAND · spot-level model point

MetService New Zealand Surf Forecasts
Surf-oriented wind, swell, wave height, quality, SST, and tide display; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
New Zealand Regional Wave Buoy Pages
Measured wave height, direction, and period; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
NIWA Tide Forecasting API
Tide predictions and charts; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
LINZ Tide Predictions and Sea-Level Data
Official tide predictions and observed sea level; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 23, 11:45 AM GMT+12
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 23, 11:45 AM GMT+12
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.