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Alanya Keykubat

When to go

5:00 PM–6:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

2.0–2.2 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 2.9 kt · onshore

Forecast details
  • Light wind should keep the water smoother.
Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

  • 4:00 PM–6:00 PM · Europe/Istanbul

    Light wind · up to 3.8 kt · reported gusts up to 16.5 kt

    Offshore waves: 2.0–2.2 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.

    Wind source time: Sep 23, 2:30 AM GMT+3. This is not the model run issue time.
How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence
  • Returned marine grid point is 9.7 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
  • Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
  • No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
  • Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
  • A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind E 2.2 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details
Offshore model swellSW 1.0 ft @ 4sValid 2026-09-23 03:00 · Europe/IstanbulMarine grid 36.4583, 32.0417 · offshore model, not a local measurement
Offshore model sea1.0 ft @ 4.3sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 03:00 · Europe/Istanbul
Model windE 2.2 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 03:00 · Europe/Istanbul0.4 kt onshore component
TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Alanya Keykubat
TimeWindTideOffshore swell
E 2 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableWSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
SE 2.1 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
E 2.1 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
E 2.2 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
ESE 1.5 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
E 2.4 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.1 ft @ 4s
E 2.3 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
ESE 2.3 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
ESE 2.8 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 3s
SSE 4.2 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.0 ft @ 3s
SSE 3.6 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
SSE 4.7 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.2 ft @ 3s
SSE 5.1 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.3 ft @ 4s
S 5.5 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.5 ft @ 4s
SSE 4.4 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.6 ft @ 4s
SSE 3.8 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 1.8 ft @ 4s
SSW 3.8 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.0 ft @ 4s
S 1.8 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.0 ft @ 4s
SSE 2.9 ktonshoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.2 ft @ 4s
ESE 1.4 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.3 ft @ 4s
E 1.9 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.5 ft @ 4s
E 2.3 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableSW 2.6 ft @ 4s
ENE 2.8 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableWSW 2.8 ft @ 4s
ENE 3.4 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailableWSW 3.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindSE 2.1 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindESE 1.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.1 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindESE 2.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindESE 2.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindSSE 4.2 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.0 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindSSE 3.6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.1 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindSSE 4.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.2 ft @ 3s
Unavailable
WindSSE 5.1 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.3 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindS 5.5 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.5 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindSSE 4.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.6 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindSSE 3.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.8 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindSSW 3.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindS 1.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.0 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindSSE 2.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.2 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindESE 1.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.3 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 1.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.5 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindE 2.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 2.6 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindENE 2.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 2.8 ft @ 4s
Unavailable
WindENE 3.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 3.0 ft @ 4s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach break. Exact map point linked by Alanya municipality for Keykubat public beach; the south-facing orientation is a reviewed representative shoreline normal, not a surveyed surf lineup.

Mapped spot coordinate: 36.54273278205715, 32.01383681028478.

Mainland · Turkish mainland Mediterranean coast · Ocean-facing bearing 180° · Location provenance

Model request point: Alanya Keykubat (36.54273278205715, 32.01383681028478). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/6 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier D · MEDITERRANEAN_MODEL · spot-level model point

  • National or regional meteorological marine bulletin
    No current MGM daily marine response passed report identity, 0000 GMT synopsis, 03:00 UTC validity, exact regional scope, four-block, Beaufort, wave-metre, weather, visibility, and freshness validation.
    UnavailableNo source time
  • The Buoy API
    MGM daily marine rows are forecasts for navigation regions, not measured wave observations or breaking-surf reports.
    UnavailableNo source time
  • WorldTides API
    No independently contracted Turkish tide-station prediction is connected; the MGM daily marine report contains no tides.
    UnavailableNo source time
  • Open-Meteo Marine API
    1 of 1 configured model points available
    Current
  • Open-Meteo Weather API
    1 of 1 configured model points available
    Current
  • Copernicus Marine Global Ocean Waves
    No independently authenticated Copernicus product, run, grid, and current response is connected; MGM and Open-Meteo remain separately labeled forecast evidence.
    UnavailableNo source time
  • Surf-Forecast public pages
    Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallback
    Not applicableNo source time
How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.