Lake Michigan · Today

New Buffalo

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 7:40 PM EDT

When to go

No clear pick yet

There is not enough current forecast information to choose a spot.

Check tomorrow →

What's missing?

No usable upcoming daylight wave or wind evidence is available. Check Tomorrow if today’s daylight has ended.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

No upcoming daytime sample has current, finite wind evidence.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind NE 5.8 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swell— Unavailable No usable model swell value for this hour

Model windNE 5.8 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-22 20:00 · America/Detroit0.5 kt onshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

NWS IWX · Berrien County beaches

Swim risk: Moderate. Wave height: 2 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.

REST OF TODAYOfficial NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneIssued Sep 22, 4:33 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for New Buffalo
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NE 6.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 AM	NE 5.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 AM	NE 6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 AM	ENE 5.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 AM	ENE 5.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 AM	NE 5.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 AM	NE 4.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 AM	NE 6.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 AM	NE 4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 AM	NE 6.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 AM	NE 6.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 AM	NNE 5.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
Noon	NNE 8.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 PM	NNE 7.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 PM	N 9.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 PM	N 9.1 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 PM	NNW 7.7 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 PM	N 8.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 PM	NNE 5.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 PM	NNE 6.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 PM	NE 5.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 PM	NE 5.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 PM	NE 6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 PM	NE 5.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable

12 AMUnavailable

WindNE 6.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 AMUnavailable

WindNE 5.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 AMUnavailable

WindNE 6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 AMUnavailable

WindENE 5.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 AMUnavailable

WindENE 5.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 AMUnavailable

WindNE 5.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 AMUnavailable

WindNE 4.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 AMUnavailable

WindNE 6.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 AMUnavailable

WindNE 4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 AMUnavailable

WindNE 6.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 AMUnavailable

WindNE 6.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 5.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

NoonUnavailable

WindNNE 8.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 7.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 PMUnavailable

WindN 9.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 PMUnavailable

WindN 9.1 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 PMUnavailable

WindNNW 7.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 PMUnavailable

WindN 8.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 5.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 6.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 PMUnavailable

WindNE 5.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 PMUnavailable

WindNE 5.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 PMUnavailable

WindNE 5.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Published GPS coordinate for New Buffalo Beach; the NWS Berrien surf-zone section explicitly names New Buffalo.

Mapped spot coordinate: 41.802349, -86.749112.

Mainland United States · Lake Michigan southeast shore · Ocean-facing bearing 315° · Location provenance

Model request point: New Buffalo (41.802349, -86.749112). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/3 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_GREAT_LAKES · spot-level model point

NWS IWX · Berrien County beaches; official breaking-surf forecast textUnavailableCurrent · Sep 22, 4:33 PM EDT

NWS IWX · Berrien County beaches
NWS IWX · Berrien County beaches; Official NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneCurrentSep 22, 4:33 PM EDT
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
No current buoy has been assigned to this spot with verified same-lake exposure.UnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.