Orange County · Today

Blackies

NWS SGX Orange County Coastal Areas · THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY; official reef-face range: 1–3 ft

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 4:40 PM PDT

When to go

Around 6:00 PM

Windy · Low confidence

2.8–2.8 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 11.2 kt · direction unavailable

Forecast details

This is the best time in the forecast, though wind may make it choppy.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

5:00 PM–6:00 PM · America/Los_Angeles
Wind speed available · shore exposure unknown · up to 11.6 kt · reported gusts up to 14.8 kt
Offshore waves: 2.8–2.8 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 4:30 PM PDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 2.7 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind WNW 11.6 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellS 1.8 ft @ 13sValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_AngelesMarine grid 33.6250, -117.9583 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea2.8 ft @ 8.8sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_Angeles

Model windWNW 11.6 ktunavailableValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_Angeles

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

NWS SGX Orange County Coastal Areas · THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY1–3 ftOfficial coastal-area surf height forecast; exposure varies within Orange County. Local break height and quality remain unresolvedIssued Sep 22, 1:19 PM PDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Blackies
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NNE 3.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.7 ft @ 9s
1 AM	NE 2.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.7 ft @ 9s
2 AM	S 2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.7 ft @ 10s
3 AM	SSW 1.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SW 1.8 ft @ 9s
4 AM	NW 1.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	WSW 1.8 ft @ 7s
5 AM	NE 2.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	W 1.8 ft @ 6s
6 AM	ENE 4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	W 1.8 ft @ 5s
7 AM	ENE 3.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	W 1.8 ft @ 4s
8 AM	NE 2.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	W 1.8 ft @ 4s
9 AM	N 2.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	WSW 1.8 ft @ 6s
10 AM	WSW 1.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SW 1.8 ft @ 8s
11 AM	WSW 6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SW 1.8 ft @ 10s
Noon	W 8.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.7 ft @ 12s
1 PM	W 9.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.6 ft @ 13s
2 PM	W 10.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.5 ft @ 14s
3 PM	WNW 12 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 1.6 ft @ 14s
4 PM	WNW 12.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 1.7 ft @ 14s
5 PM	WNW 11.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 1.8 ft @ 13s
6 PM	WNW 11.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 1.8 ft @ 13s
7 PM	WNW 9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 1.8 ft @ 14s
8 PM	WNW 7.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	S 1.8 ft @ 13s
9 PM	WNW 5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SW 1.8 ft @ 10s
10 PM	NW 4.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	WSW 2.0 ft @ 7s
11 PM	NW 4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	W 2.0 ft @ 4s

12 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 3.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 9s

1 AMUnavailable

WindNE 2.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 9s

2 AMUnavailable

WindS 2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 10s

3 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 1.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.8 ft @ 9s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNW 1.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 1.8 ft @ 7s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNE 2.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 1.8 ft @ 6s

6 AMUnavailable

WindENE 4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 1.8 ft @ 5s

7 AMUnavailable

WindENE 3.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 1.8 ft @ 4s

8 AMUnavailable

WindNE 2.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 1.8 ft @ 4s

9 AMUnavailable

WindN 2.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 1.8 ft @ 6s

10 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 1.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.8 ft @ 8s

11 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.8 ft @ 10s

NoonUnavailable

WindW 8.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 12s

1 PMUnavailable

WindW 9.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.6 ft @ 13s

2 PMUnavailable

WindW 10.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.5 ft @ 14s

3 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 12 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 1.6 ft @ 14s

4 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 12.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 1.7 ft @ 14s

5 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 11.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 1.8 ft @ 13s

6 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 11.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 1.8 ft @ 13s

7 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 1.8 ft @ 14s

8 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 7.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 1.8 ft @ 13s

9 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 1.8 ft @ 10s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellWSW 2.0 ft @ 7s

11 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 2.0 ft @ 4s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach and point break. Named beach/break area coordinate from published map; not a coastline survey. Coastline orientation unresolved; wind relationship withheld.

Mapped spot coordinate: 33.6114, -117.9344.

Mainland California · west · Coastline orientation unresolved · Location provenance

Model request point: Blackies (33.6114, -117.9344). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 3/6 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_CA · spot-level model point

NWS SGX Orange County Coastal Areas · THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY; official reef-face range1–3 ftCurrent · Sep 22, 1:19 PM PDT

NWS SGX Orange County Coastal Areas · THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NWS SGX Orange County Coastal Areas · THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY; Official coastal-area surf height forecast; exposure varies within Orange County. Local break height and quality remain unresolvedCurrentSep 22, 1:19 PM PDT
Coastal Data Information Program THREDDS
No exact named CDIP mapping is available.UnavailableNo source time
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
No NDBC buoy passed the spot-level coordinate, distance, and checked seaward-exposure requirements.UnavailableNo source time
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
Tide predictions unavailable for the selected dayUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.