Eleuthera · Wednesday, Sep 23

Holiday Beach

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 8:10 PM EDT

When to go

4:00 PM–6:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

1.1–1.1 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 11.9 kt · direction unavailable

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

3:00 PM–5:00 PM · America/Nassau
Light wind · up to 5.2 kt · reported gusts up to 8.9 kt
Offshore waves: 1.1–1.2 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:30 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 5.1 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 12 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SSW 6.6 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellE 0.9 ft @ 5sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/NassauMarine grid 25.4583, -76.5417 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea1.2 ft @ 6.5sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Nassau

Model windSSW 6.6 ktoffshoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Nassau5.7 kt offshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Holiday Beach
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	SE 4.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.0 ft @ 5s
1 AM	SE 5.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.0 ft @ 5s
2 AM	SE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.0 ft @ 5s
3 AM	SSE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.0 ft @ 5s
4 AM	SSE 7.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
5 AM	SSE 6.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
6 AM	S 7.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
7 AM	S 7.3 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
8 AM	SSW 6.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
9 AM	S 6.7 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
10 AM	SSW 7.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
11 AM	SSW 5.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
Noon	SW 6.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
1 PM	SSE 7.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
2 PM	SSW 8.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
3 PM	WSW 5.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
4 PM	S 2.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.8 ft @ 5s
5 PM	SSE 3.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.8 ft @ 5s
6 PM	WSW 11.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.8 ft @ 5s
7 PM	SW 11.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
8 PM	S 9.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
9 PM	S 7.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
10 PM	SSE 9.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s
11 PM	S 13.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	E 0.9 ft @ 5s

12 AMUnavailable

WindSE 4.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.0 ft @ 5s

1 AMUnavailable

WindSE 5.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.0 ft @ 5s

2 AMUnavailable

WindSE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.0 ft @ 5s

3 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.0 ft @ 5s

4 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

5 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

6 AMUnavailable

WindS 7.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

7 AMUnavailable

WindS 7.3 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

8 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 6.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

9 AMUnavailable

WindS 6.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 7.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

11 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 5.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

NoonUnavailable

WindSW 6.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 8.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

3 PMUnavailable

WindWSW 5.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

4 PMUnavailable

WindS 2.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.8 ft @ 5s

5 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 3.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.8 ft @ 5s

6 PMUnavailable

WindWSW 11.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.8 ft @ 5s

7 PMUnavailable

WindSW 11.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

8 PMUnavailable

WindS 9.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

9 PMUnavailable

WindS 7.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

10 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 9.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

11 PMUnavailable

WindS 13.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 0.9 ft @ 5s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Reef break. Published named-break coordinate and described Atlantic exposure; not a coastline survey or breaking-surf validation.

Mapped spot coordinate: 25.42, -76.57.

Eleuthera · Eleuthera Atlantic northeast-facing exposed reef coast · Ocean-facing bearing 45° · Location provenance

Model request point: Holiday Beach (25.42, -76.57). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/6 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier D · MODEL_FIRST_AMERICAS · spot-level model point

National or regional meteorological marine bulletin
The Bahamas Department of Meteorology publishes a current six-hourly Northwest Bahamas PDF covering Eleuthera, but no stable structured response is available to the Worker; the PDF is not scraped or relabeled as break-level surf.UnavailableNo source time
The Buoy API
No local wave observation is available; the nearest identified wave buoys are more than 430 km away across open Atlantic water and are not assigned.UnavailableNo source time
WorldTides API
No current prediction response passed station identity, coordinates, distance, chart datum, timezone, and update-contract validation; third-party Hatchet Bay and Holiday Beach displays are not treated as station contracts.UnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:30 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:30 PM EDT
Copernicus Marine Global Ocean Waves
Independent wave-model backend and cross-check; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.