Fernando de Noronha · Wednesday, Sep 23

Cacimba do Padre

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 10:10 PM GMT-2

When to go

4:00 PM–6:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

5.6–5.7 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 11.8 kt · offshore

Forecast details

Wind blowing out to sea should help the waves stay clean.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

3:00 PM–5:00 PM · America/Noronha
Moderate offshore wind · up to 11.8 kt · reported gusts up to 15.6 kt
Offshore waves: 5.6–5.8 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 9:30 PM GMT-2. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.4 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 10 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SE 13.3 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellESE 4.7 ft @ 8sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/NoronhaMarine grid -3.8750, -32.4583 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea5.8 ft @ 8.5sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Noronha

Model windSE 13.3 ktoffshoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Noronha11.6 kt offshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Cacimba do Padre
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	ESE 14 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SE 5.0 ft @ 7s
1 AM	SE 13.7 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SE 5.1 ft @ 7s
2 AM	SE 13 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 5.0 ft @ 7s
3 AM	ESE 12.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.9 ft @ 7s
4 AM	ESE 12.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
5 AM	ESE 12.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
6 AM	SE 13.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 7s
7 AM	SE 13.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 7s
8 AM	SE 13.3 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 8s
9 AM	ESE 12.7 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 8s
10 AM	SE 12.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 8s
11 AM	ESE 12 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 8s
Noon	ESE 12.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 8s
1 PM	SE 12.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.9 ft @ 7s
2 PM	SE 12.1 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.9 ft @ 7s
3 PM	SE 11.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
4 PM	SE 11.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
5 PM	ESE 11.8 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
6 PM	ESE 11.8 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 7s
7 PM	ESE 11.7 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 7s
8 PM	ESE 12.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.7 ft @ 7s
9 PM	ESE 13.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.8 ft @ 7s
10 PM	ESE 13.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SE 4.8 ft @ 7s
11 PM	ESE 13.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SE 4.8 ft @ 7s

12 AMUnavailable

WindESE 14 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 5.0 ft @ 7s

1 AMUnavailable

WindSE 13.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 5.1 ft @ 7s

2 AMUnavailable

WindSE 13 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 5.0 ft @ 7s

3 AMUnavailable

WindESE 12.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.9 ft @ 7s

4 AMUnavailable

WindESE 12.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

5 AMUnavailable

WindESE 12.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

6 AMUnavailable

WindSE 13.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 7s

7 AMUnavailable

WindSE 13.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 7s

8 AMUnavailable

WindSE 13.3 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 8s

9 AMUnavailable

WindESE 12.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 8s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSE 12.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 8s

11 AMUnavailable

WindESE 12 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 8s

NoonUnavailable

WindESE 12.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 8s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSE 12.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.9 ft @ 7s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSE 12.1 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.9 ft @ 7s

3 PMUnavailable

WindSE 11.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

4 PMUnavailable

WindSE 11.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

5 PMUnavailable

WindESE 11.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

6 PMUnavailable

WindESE 11.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 7s

7 PMUnavailable

WindESE 11.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 7s

8 PMUnavailable

WindESE 12.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.7 ft @ 7s

9 PMUnavailable

WindESE 13.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.8 ft @ 7s

10 PMUnavailable

WindESE 13.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 4.8 ft @ 7s

11 PMUnavailable

WindESE 13.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 4.8 ft @ 7s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach break. Named-break page reports an exposed beach with ideal north-northwest swell and south-southeast offshore wind; orientation reviewed at 337.5 degrees.

Mapped spot coordinate: -3.85, -32.44.

Fernando de Noronha · Fernando de Noronha northwest-facing exposed equatorial Atlantic beach coast · Ocean-facing bearing 337.5° · Location provenance

Model request point: Cacimba do Padre (-3.85, -32.44). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/6 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier C · BRAZIL · spot-level model point

Brazilian Navy Marine Forecasts
Brazilian Navy CHM publishes official 24/48-hour marine bulletins, but the checked public response returned a managed Cloudflare challenge. No timestamped forecast-area payload is scraped or relabeled as breaking surf.UnavailableNo source time
Brazilian Navy PNBOIA / CHM
The checked PNBOIA public page returned a managed Cloudflare challenge, and no island-local station identity, coordinates, units, cadence, or current observation could be verified. Distant mainland or Atlantic buoys are not substituted.UnavailableNo source time
WorldTides API
WorldTides returned HTTP 400 API key invalid without a credential; no station identity, distance, datum, timezone, or prediction is available.UnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 9:30 PM GMT-2
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 9:30 PM GMT-2
Copernicus Marine Global Ocean Waves
Copernicus Marine requires an account/toolbox workflow and no independently connected response is available.UnavailableNo source time
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.