Nova Scotia Eastern Shore · Wednesday, Sep 23

Lawrencetown

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 9:10 PM ADT

When to go

6:00 PM–7:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

2.3–2.4 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 4.3 kt · direction unavailable

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

4:00 PM–6:00 PM · America/Halifax
Light wind · up to 4.9 kt · reported gusts up to 7.2 kt
Offshore waves: 2.2–2.4 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 8:30 PM ADT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.0 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 11 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind N 5.5 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellSE 1.4 ft @ 7sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/HalifaxMarine grid 44.6250, -63.3750 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea1.8 ft @ 6.7sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Halifax

Model windN 5.5 ktunavailableValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Halifax

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Lawrencetown
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	N 6.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.6 ft @ 7s
1 AM	N 6.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.6 ft @ 7s
2 AM	N 6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.5 ft @ 7s
3 AM	N 5.7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.5 ft @ 7s
4 AM	N 6.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.5 ft @ 7s
5 AM	N 6.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.5 ft @ 7s
6 AM	N 6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.5 ft @ 6s
7 AM	N 5.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.4 ft @ 7s
8 AM	N 5.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.4 ft @ 7s
9 AM	N 6.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.3 ft @ 7s
10 AM	NNE 7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	SE 1.3 ft @ 6s
11 AM	NNE 5.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 1.2 ft @ 6s
Noon	NE 5.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 1.2 ft @ 5s
1 PM	NNE 5.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 1.4 ft @ 4s
2 PM	NNE 5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.6 ft @ 4s
3 PM	NNE 4.7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.7 ft @ 4s
4 PM	NE 4.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.8 ft @ 4s
5 PM	NE 3.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 2.0 ft @ 4s
6 PM	N 2.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 2.1 ft @ 4s
7 PM	N 4.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 2.0 ft @ 4s
8 PM	N 4.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 2.0 ft @ 4s
9 PM	N 5.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.9 ft @ 4s
10 PM	N 4.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	E 1.8 ft @ 4s
11 PM	N 4.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 1.8 ft @ 3s

12 AMUnavailable

WindN 6.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.6 ft @ 7s

1 AMUnavailable

WindN 6.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.6 ft @ 7s

2 AMUnavailable

WindN 6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.5 ft @ 7s

3 AMUnavailable

WindN 5.7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.5 ft @ 7s

4 AMUnavailable

WindN 6.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.5 ft @ 7s

5 AMUnavailable

WindN 6.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.5 ft @ 7s

6 AMUnavailable

WindN 6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.5 ft @ 6s

7 AMUnavailable

WindN 5.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.4 ft @ 7s

8 AMUnavailable

WindN 5.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.4 ft @ 7s

9 AMUnavailable

WindN 6.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.3 ft @ 7s

10 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSE 1.3 ft @ 6s

11 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 5.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 1.2 ft @ 6s

NoonUnavailable

WindNE 5.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 1.2 ft @ 5s

1 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 5.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 1.4 ft @ 4s

2 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.6 ft @ 4s

3 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 4.7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.7 ft @ 4s

4 PMUnavailable

WindNE 4.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.8 ft @ 4s

5 PMUnavailable

WindNE 3.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 2.0 ft @ 4s

6 PMUnavailable

WindN 2.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 2.1 ft @ 4s

7 PMUnavailable

WindN 4.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 2.0 ft @ 4s

8 PMUnavailable

WindN 4.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 2.0 ft @ 4s

9 PMUnavailable

WindN 5.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.9 ft @ 4s

10 PMUnavailable

WindN 4.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellE 1.8 ft @ 4s

11 PMUnavailable

WindN 4.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 1.8 ft @ 3s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Reef break. Published named beach/break-area coordinate; shoreline bearing and nearshore wave transformation unresolved.

Mapped spot coordinate: 44.6332, -63.3392.

Mainland · Atlantic coast, Eastern Shore · Coastline orientation unresolved · Location provenance

Model request point: Lawrencetown (44.6332, -63.3392). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · CANADA · spot-level model point

ECCC official marine wave bulletins
ECCC wave bulletin does not cover this selected date or its area, issue time or forecast format is unsupported.UnavailableNo source time
Environment Canada MSC GeoMet
Wind, weather, marine model fields, alerts; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
Canadian Hydrographic Service IWLS API
Tide predictions, water levels, and station metadata; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 8:30 PM ADT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 8:30 PM ADT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.