Vancouver Island · Wednesday, Sep 23

Wickaninnish

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 5:10 PM PDT

When to go

Around 7:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

6.1–6.1 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 2.0 kt · cross-shore

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

8:00 AM–10:00 AM · America/Vancouver
Light wind · up to 2.8 kt · reported gusts up to 10.7 kt
Offshore waves: 6.4–6.7 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 4:30 PM PDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.2 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 15 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind NW 2.8 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellW 6.0 ft @ 8sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/VancouverMarine grid 49.0417, -125.7083 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea6.4 ft @ 9.4sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Vancouver

Model windNW 2.8 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Vancouver1.6 kt onshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast

Today Tonight and Wednesday. Seas 2 metres building to 2 to 3 near midnight then subsiding to 1 to 2 Wednesday evening.

Today Tonight and WednesdayOfficial significant combined wind-wave and swell height for the marine zone; not breaking surf. No wave period or direction is supplied.Issued Sep 22, 4:00 PM PDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Wickaninnish
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	S 6.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.1 ft @ 7s
1 AM	N 0.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.1 ft @ 7s
2 AM	NNW 4.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.2 ft @ 7s
3 AM	NW 6.2 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.3 ft @ 7s
4 AM	NW 9.6 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.4 ft @ 7s
5 AM	NW 8.5 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.5 ft @ 7s
6 AM	NW 6.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.6 ft @ 8s
7 AM	NW 5.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s
8 AM	NW 2.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.0 ft @ 8s
9 AM	NNW 2.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.1 ft @ 8s
10 AM	NW 2.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.3 ft @ 8s
11 AM	W 4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.4 ft @ 8s
Noon	WSW 5.3 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.4 ft @ 8s
1 PM	SW 7.1 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.4 ft @ 8s
2 PM	SW 6.3 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.3 ft @ 8s
3 PM	W 9.9 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.2 ft @ 8s
4 PM	NW 2.4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 6.0 ft @ 8s
5 PM	SW 3.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.9 ft @ 8s
6 PM	SW 2.2 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.9 ft @ 8s
7 PM	SSW 2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s
8 PM	W 0.4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s
9 PM	NNW 0.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s
10 PM	NE 3.6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s
11 PM	ENE 3.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	W 5.8 ft @ 8s

12 AMUnavailable

WindS 6.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.1 ft @ 7s

1 AMUnavailable

WindN 0.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.1 ft @ 7s

2 AMUnavailable

WindNNW 4.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.2 ft @ 7s

3 AMUnavailable

WindNW 6.2 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.3 ft @ 7s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNW 9.6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.4 ft @ 7s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNW 8.5 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.5 ft @ 7s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNW 6.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.6 ft @ 8s

7 AMUnavailable

WindNW 5.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

8 AMUnavailable

WindNW 2.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.0 ft @ 8s

9 AMUnavailable

WindNNW 2.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.1 ft @ 8s

10 AMUnavailable

WindNW 2.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.3 ft @ 8s

11 AMUnavailable

WindW 4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.4 ft @ 8s

NoonUnavailable

WindWSW 5.3 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.4 ft @ 8s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSW 7.1 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.4 ft @ 8s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSW 6.3 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.3 ft @ 8s

3 PMUnavailable

WindW 9.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.2 ft @ 8s

4 PMUnavailable

WindNW 2.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 6.0 ft @ 8s

5 PMUnavailable

WindSW 3.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.9 ft @ 8s

6 PMUnavailable

WindSW 2.2 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.9 ft @ 8s

7 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

8 PMUnavailable

WindW 0.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNNW 0.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 3.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

11 PMUnavailable

WindENE 3.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellW 5.8 ft @ 8s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Sandbar break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 49.02, -125.68.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 270° · Location provenance

Model request point: Wickaninnish (49.02, -125.68). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 3/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · CANADA · spot-level model point

ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast
ECCC West Coast Vancouver Island South combined-seas forecast; Official significant combined wind-wave and swell height for the marine zone; not breaking surf. No wave period or direction is supplied.CurrentSep 22, 4:00 PM PDT
Fisheries and Oceans Canada Wave Data
No ECCC wave buoy is assigned to the Juan de Fuca Strait spots; La Perouse Bank observations apply only to the same-exposure outer-Pacific spots.UnavailableNo source time
Canadian Hydrographic Service IWLS API
Tide predictions, water levels, and station metadata; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.