South Pacific · Wednesday, Sep 23

Pavones

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 6:30 PM CST

When to go

8:00 AM–10:00 AM

Looks good · Low confidence

2.8–2.8 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 5.1 kt · direction unavailable

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

6:00 AM–8:00 AM · America/Costa_Rica
Light wind · up to 1.3 kt · reported gusts up to 5.4 kt
Offshore waves: 2.8–2.8 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data available; check the local tide response.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 5:45 PM CST. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.6 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 13 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind N 1 kt

Tide 5 ft rising

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Costa_RicaMarine grid 8.4583, -83.1250 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea2.8 ft @ 10sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Costa_Rica

Model windN 1 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Costa_Rica0.1 kt onshore component

Tide5 ftrisingMIO-CIMAR Golfito station 37 · 25.6 km from Pavones · predicted height relative to MIO mean-low-tide referenceRetrieved Sep 22, 6:37 PM CST · provider issue time unavailable28% of adjacent local low–high range · descriptive, not a safety rating

MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model

Modeled regional significant wave height 1.56 m; modeled maximum 2.07 m; period 15.8 s; direction from 220°.

2026-09-23T06:00:00.000Z (America/Costa_Rica: 2026-09-23 00:00)Official MIO-CIMAR regional modeled ocean-wave conditions for South Pacific; API heights are metres, the API direction is a propagation-toward vector converted here to a from-bearing, and these values are neither a station observation nor breaking surf. The provider exposes no issue timestamp; 2026-09-23T00:37:02.502Z is the response retrieval time.Measured maximum wave: 6.8 ftRetrieved Sep 22, 6:37 PM CST

MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model

Modeled regional significant wave height 1.51 m; modeled maximum 2.01 m; period 15.4 s; direction from 223°. Oleaje promedio. Precaución para bañistas. Generación de corrientes de resaca moderadas.

2026-09-23T12:00:00.000Z (America/Costa_Rica: 2026-09-23 06:00)Official MIO-CIMAR regional modeled ocean-wave conditions for South Pacific; API heights are metres, the API direction is a propagation-toward vector converted here to a from-bearing, and these values are neither a station observation nor breaking surf. The provider exposes no issue timestamp; 2026-09-23T00:37:02.502Z is the response retrieval time.Measured maximum wave: 6.6 ftRetrieved Sep 22, 6:37 PM CST

MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model

Modeled regional significant wave height 1.34 m; modeled maximum 1.78 m; period 15.4 s; direction from 226°. Oleaje promedio. Precaución para bañistas. Generación de corrientes de resaca moderadas.

2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z (America/Costa_Rica: 2026-09-23 12:00)Official MIO-CIMAR regional modeled ocean-wave conditions for South Pacific; API heights are metres, the API direction is a propagation-toward vector converted here to a from-bearing, and these values are neither a station observation nor breaking surf. The provider exposes no issue timestamp; 2026-09-23T00:37:02.502Z is the response retrieval time.Measured maximum wave: 5.8 ftRetrieved Sep 22, 6:37 PM CST

MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model

Modeled regional significant wave height 1.23 m; modeled maximum 1.64 m; period 15.2 s; direction from 228°.

2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z (America/Costa_Rica: 2026-09-23 18:00)Official MIO-CIMAR regional modeled ocean-wave conditions for South Pacific; API heights are metres, the API direction is a propagation-toward vector converted here to a from-bearing, and these values are neither a station observation nor breaking surf. The provider exposes no issue timestamp; 2026-09-23T00:37:02.502Z is the response retrieval time.Measured maximum wave: 5.4 ftRetrieved Sep 22, 6:37 PM CST

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Pavones
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	S 2.7 ktcross-shore	8.5 ftnear high	SSW 1.8 ft @ 9s
1 AM	SW 3.1 ktcross-shore	7.5 ftfalling	SW 1.6 ft @ 10s
2 AM	WSW 2.9 ktonshore	7 ftfalling	SW 1.4 ft @ 11s
3 AM	WNW 3.2 ktonshore	6 ftfalling	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
4 AM	WNW 3.6 ktonshore	5 ftfalling	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
5 AM	WNW 2.5 ktonshore	4.5 ftfalling	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
6 AM	NW 1.3 ktonshore	3.5 ftnear low	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
7 AM	NNW 1.3 ktcross-shore	4 ftrising	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
8 AM	N 1 ktcross-shore	5 ftrising	WSW 1.3 ft @ 13s
9 AM	SW 2.1 ktonshore	5.5 ftrising	WSW 1.3 ft @ 12s
10 AM	SW 5.1 ktcross-shore	6.5 ftrising	SW 1.4 ft @ 11s
11 AM	SSW 6.9 ktcross-shore	7.5 ftrising	SW 1.6 ft @ 10s
Noon	SSW 7.1 ktcross-shore	8.5 ftnear high	SSW 1.7 ft @ 9s
1 PM	SW 8.4 ktcross-shore	8 ftfalling	SSW 1.7 ft @ 8s
2 PM	SW 7.6 ktcross-shore	7 ftfalling	SSW 1.7 ft @ 8s
3 PM	WSW 6.2 ktonshore	6 ftfalling	SSW 1.7 ft @ 8s
4 PM	W 6.7 ktonshore	5 ftfalling	SSW 1.8 ft @ 8s
5 PM	WNW 5.9 ktonshore	4.5 ftfalling	SSW 1.8 ft @ 7s
6 PM	NW 4.4 ktonshore	3.5 ftfalling	SSW 1.8 ft @ 7s
7 PM	NW 3.8 ktcross-shore	3 ftrising	SSW 1.8 ft @ 6s
8 PM	NW 4.7 ktcross-shore	4 ftrising	SSW 1.9 ft @ 6s
9 PM	NW 4.8 ktcross-shore	5 ftrising	SSW 1.9 ft @ 6s
10 PM	NW 4.3 ktonshore	6 ftrising	SSW 1.9 ft @ 6s
11 PM	WNW 4.4 ktonshore	7 ftrising	SSW 1.9 ft @ 6s

12 AMUnavailable

WindS 2.7 ktcross-shoreTide8.5 ftnear highOffshore swellSSW 1.8 ft @ 9s

1 AMUnavailable

WindSW 3.1 ktcross-shoreTide7.5 ftfallingOffshore swellSW 1.6 ft @ 10s

2 AMUnavailable

WindWSW 2.9 ktonshoreTide7 ftfallingOffshore swellSW 1.4 ft @ 11s

3 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 3.2 ktonshoreTide6 ftfallingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

4 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 3.6 ktonshoreTide5 ftfallingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

5 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 2.5 ktonshoreTide4.5 ftfallingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNW 1.3 ktonshoreTide3.5 ftnear lowOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

7 AMUnavailable

WindNNW 1.3 ktcross-shoreTide4 ftrisingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

8 AMUnavailable

WindN 1 ktcross-shoreTide5 ftrisingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 13s

9 AMUnavailable

WindSW 2.1 ktonshoreTide5.5 ftrisingOffshore swellWSW 1.3 ft @ 12s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSW 5.1 ktcross-shoreTide6.5 ftrisingOffshore swellSW 1.4 ft @ 11s

11 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 6.9 ktcross-shoreTide7.5 ftrisingOffshore swellSW 1.6 ft @ 10s

NoonUnavailable

WindSSW 7.1 ktcross-shoreTide8.5 ftnear highOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 9s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSW 8.4 ktcross-shoreTide8 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 8s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSW 7.6 ktcross-shoreTide7 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 8s

3 PMUnavailable

WindWSW 6.2 ktonshoreTide6 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.7 ft @ 8s

4 PMUnavailable

WindW 6.7 ktonshoreTide5 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.8 ft @ 8s

5 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 5.9 ktonshoreTide4.5 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.8 ft @ 7s

6 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4.4 ktonshoreTide3.5 ftfallingOffshore swellSSW 1.8 ft @ 7s

7 PMUnavailable

WindNW 3.8 ktcross-shoreTide3 ftrisingOffshore swellSSW 1.8 ft @ 6s

8 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4.7 ktcross-shoreTide4 ftrisingOffshore swellSSW 1.9 ft @ 6s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4.8 ktcross-shoreTide5 ftrisingOffshore swellSSW 1.9 ft @ 6s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNW 4.3 ktonshoreTide6 ftrisingOffshore swellSSW 1.9 ft @ 6s

11 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 4.4 ktonshoreTide7 ftrisingOffshore swellSSW 1.9 ft @ 6s

Tide

MIO-CIMAR Golfito station 37 · 25.6 km from Pavones · MIO mean-low-tide reference

Interpolated tide height Recommended window

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Point break. Published named-break coordinate and west-facing point exposure. MIO forecast area 15 is regional; Golfito station 37 is 25.6 km away inside Golfo Dulce and is disclosed as a tide reference, not a local water-level observation.

Mapped spot coordinate: 8.43, -83.11.

Mainland Costa Rica · South Pacific coast at the Golfo Dulce entrance · Ocean-facing bearing 270° · Location provenance

Model request point: Pavones (8.43, -83.11). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 4/7 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier D · MODEL_FIRST_AMERICAS · spot-level model point

MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model
MIO-CIMAR South Pacific regional model; Official MIO-CIMAR regional modeled ocean-wave conditions for South Pacific; API heights are metres, the API direction is a propagation-toward vector converted here to a from-bearing, and these values are neither a station observation nor breaking surf. The provider exposes no issue timestamp; 2026-09-23T00:37:02.502Z is the response retrieval time.CurrentSep 22, 6:37 PM CST
The Buoy API
No current same-exposure wave observation with verified identity, coordinates, units, and timestamp is connected; MIO-CIMAR forecasts are not relabeled as observations.UnavailableNo source time
MIO-CIMAR Costa Rica tide predictions
MIO-CIMAR Golfito station 37 · 25.6 km from Pavones; predicted high/low events above MIO mean-low-tide reference, converted to feet. Timestamp is retrieval time; provider issue time is not supplied.CurrentSep 22, 6:37 PM CST
WorldTides API
Official MIO-CIMAR station predictions are used; heights are referenced to the provider-described mean of low tides from at least a 20-year record.UnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 5:45 PM CST
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 5:45 PM CST
Copernicus Marine Global Ocean Waves
No independently authenticated Copernicus product, run, grid, and current response is connected; MIO-CIMAR and Open-Meteo remain separately labeled model evidence.UnavailableNo source time
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.