Tahiti · Wednesday, Sep 23

Papara

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 2:10 PM GMT-10

When to go

6:00 AM–8:00 AM

Looks good · Low confidence

6.5–6.8 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 4.2 kt · cross-shore

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

7:00 AM–9:00 AM · Pacific/Tahiti
Light wind · up to 4.7 kt · reported gusts up to 14.6 kt
Offshore waves: 6.6–6.9 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 1:30 PM GMT-10. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 5.6 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 18 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind E 4.2 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellSW 5.2 ft @ 12sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · Pacific/TahitiMarine grid -17.7917, -149.5417 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea6.8 ft @ 13.3sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · Pacific/Tahiti

Model windE 4.2 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · Pacific/Tahiti0.5 kt onshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Papara
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NE 2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
1 AM	NE 1.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
2 AM	NE 1.5 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
3 AM	NE 1.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
4 AM	NE 1.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
5 AM	NE 1.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SSE 4.3 ft @ 10s
6 AM	NE 2.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	S 4.6 ft @ 11s
7 AM	E 3.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SSW 4.9 ft @ 11s
8 AM	E 4.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 5.2 ft @ 12s
9 AM	SE 4.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 5.4 ft @ 12s
10 AM	SSE 6.6 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 5.5 ft @ 12s
11 AM	SSE 6.7 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 5.7 ft @ 12s
Noon	SSE 7.8 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 5.9 ft @ 12s
1 PM	SSE 7.7 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.0 ft @ 12s
2 PM	SSE 7.9 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.2 ft @ 12s
3 PM	SSE 7.2 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.4 ft @ 12s
4 PM	SE 6.7 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.5 ft @ 12s
5 PM	ESE 6.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.6 ft @ 12s
6 PM	ENE 7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.8 ft @ 12s
7 PM	NE 5.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 6.8 ft @ 12s
8 PM	NE 3.8 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 7.0 ft @ 12s
9 PM	NE 2.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 7.0 ft @ 12s
10 PM	NE 1.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 7.2 ft @ 12s
11 PM	NE 1.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	SW 7.2 ft @ 11s

12 AMUnavailable

WindNE 2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

1 AMUnavailable

WindNE 1.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

2 AMUnavailable

WindNE 1.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

3 AMUnavailable

WindNE 1.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNE 1.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNE 1.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSE 4.3 ft @ 10s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNE 2.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellS 4.6 ft @ 11s

7 AMUnavailable

WindE 3.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSSW 4.9 ft @ 11s

8 AMUnavailable

WindE 4.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 5.2 ft @ 12s

9 AMUnavailable

WindSE 4.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 5.4 ft @ 12s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 5.5 ft @ 12s

11 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 6.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 5.7 ft @ 12s

NoonUnavailable

WindSSE 7.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 5.9 ft @ 12s

1 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.0 ft @ 12s

2 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.2 ft @ 12s

3 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 7.2 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.4 ft @ 12s

4 PMUnavailable

WindSE 6.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.5 ft @ 12s

5 PMUnavailable

WindESE 6.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.6 ft @ 12s

6 PMUnavailable

WindENE 7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.8 ft @ 12s

7 PMUnavailable

WindNE 5.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 6.8 ft @ 12s

8 PMUnavailable

WindNE 3.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 7.0 ft @ 12s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNE 2.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 7.0 ft @ 12s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 1.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 7.2 ft @ 12s

11 PMUnavailable

WindNE 1.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellSW 7.2 ft @ 11s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach and reef break.

Mapped spot coordinate: -17.76, -149.5.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 180° · Location provenance

Model request point: Papara (-17.76, -149.5). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/7 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · PACIFIC_FRENCH · spot-level model point

Météo-France Marine and Wave Data
The official point is assigned only to Teahupoʻo; Météo-France PF exposes no individually matched marine point for Papara or Taapuna, and its Tahiti–Fakarava–Anaa bulletin describes averages over the whole zone.UnavailableNo source time
CANDHIS / Cerema
The CANDHIS station-list API requires an API key; no Tahiti station identity, coordinates, current timestamp, units, cadence, distance, or reef exposure could be verified.UnavailableNo source time
The Buoy API
No current Tahiti observation response with verified station identity, coordinates, timestamp, units, cadence, distance, and reef exposure is connected.UnavailableNo source time
SHOM Oceanographic and Tide Services
No tide response with a verified Tahiti station identity, distance, chart datum, timezone, and current prediction was established.UnavailableNo source time
WorldTides API
No tide response with a verified Tahiti station identity, distance, chart datum, timezone, and current prediction was established.UnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 1:30 PM GMT-10
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 1:30 PM GMT-10
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.