Madeira Southwest Coast · Thursday, Sep 24

Paul do Mar

Updated Wed, Sep 23, 1:20 AM GMT+1

When to go

10:00 AM–12:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

3.5–3.6 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 4.6 kt · direction unavailable

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

9:00 AM–11:00 AM · Atlantic/Madeira
Light wind · up to 1.7 kt · reported gusts up to 15.2 kt
Offshore waves: 3.5–3.6 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 23, 12:30 AM GMT+1. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.7 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 31 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SE 3.1 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swell— Unavailable ECMWF WAM does not provide a separate swell component here; total sea height is shown below.Marine grid 32.7241, -17.2527 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea3.7 ft @ 11.3sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfECMWF WAM via Open-Meteo · checked island/coast gridValid 2026-09-24 08:00 · Atlantic/Madeira

Model windSE 3.1 ktunavailableValid 2026-09-24 08:00 · Atlantic/Madeira

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Paul do Mar
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	SSE 1.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 AM	E 2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 AM	E 1.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 AM	E 2.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 AM	E 2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 AM	E 3.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 AM	ESE 2.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 AM	ESE 3.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 AM	SE 3.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 AM	ESE 1.7 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 AM	E 0.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 AM	NNE 1.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
Noon	WSW 4.6 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 PM	W 2.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 PM	W 1.9 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 PM	W 1.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 PM	SSE 0.4 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 PM	S 5.1 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 PM	ENE 5.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 PM	E 3.5 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 PM	ENE 2.8 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 PM	E 2.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 PM	ESE 2.2 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 PM	SSW 2.3 ktunavailable	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable

12 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 1.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 AMUnavailable

WindE 2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 AMUnavailable

WindE 1.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 AMUnavailable

WindE 2.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 AMUnavailable

WindE 2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 AMUnavailable

WindE 3.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 AMUnavailable

WindESE 2.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 AMUnavailable

WindESE 3.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 AMUnavailable

WindSE 3.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 AMUnavailable

WindESE 1.7 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 AMUnavailable

WindE 0.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 1.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

NoonUnavailable

WindWSW 4.6 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 PMUnavailable

WindW 2.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 PMUnavailable

WindW 1.9 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 PMUnavailable

WindW 1.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 PMUnavailable

WindSSE 0.4 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 PMUnavailable

WindS 5.1 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 PMUnavailable

WindENE 5.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 PMUnavailable

WindE 3.5 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 PMUnavailable

WindENE 2.8 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 PMUnavailable

WindE 2.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 PMUnavailable

WindESE 2.2 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 PMUnavailable

WindSSW 2.3 ktunavailableTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Reef break. Published named beach/break-area map coordinate; not a surveyed reef peak. Coastline bearing and nearshore transformations unresolved.

Mapped spot coordinate: 32.7563, -17.2447.

Madeira · Southwest coast · Coastline orientation unresolved · Location provenance

Model request point: Paul do Mar (32.7563, -17.2447). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/7 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · PORTUGAL · spot-level model point

IPMA Marine Forecasts
IPMA Funchal’s forecast coordinates differ from its coastal-point directory. The forecast’s geographic coverage is unresolved, so it is withheld.UnavailableNo source time
Instituto Hidrográfico MONICAN Buoys and Tides
Real-time wave-buoy parameters and tide predictions; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
The Buoy API
Normalized nearest-buoy discovery and readings; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
WorldTides API
Tide predictions and station lookup; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 23, 12:30 AM GMT+1
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 23, 12:30 AM GMT+1
Copernicus Marine Global Ocean Waves
Independent wave-model backend and cross-check; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.