Lake Erie and Ontario · Wednesday, Sep 23

Oswego

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 8:30 PM EDT

When to go

7:00 AM–8:00 AM

Wind only · Low confidence

Wind forecast only

Wind: 4.3 kt · cross-shore

Surf height is unavailable. This choice is based on wind only.

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

8:00 AM–10:00 AM · America/New_York
Unfavorable wind · up to 6.7 kt · reported gusts up to 14.6 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. The selected wind is unfavorable for this break.
Wave height unavailable for the full period. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:45 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind ESE 4.3 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swell— Unavailable No usable model swell value for this hour

Model windESE 4.3 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York2.1 kt offshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

NWS BUF · Oswego County beaches

Swim risk: Low. Wave height: 1 foot or less.

WEDNESDAYOfficial NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneIssued Sep 22, 4:04 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Oswego
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	E 4.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 AM	E 5.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 AM	E 5.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 AM	ESE 5.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 AM	E 5.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 AM	ESE 4.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 AM	ESE 4.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 AM	ESE 4.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 AM	ESE 4.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 AM	ESE 6.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 AM	E 6.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 AM	E 7.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
Noon	E 7.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 PM	ENE 7.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 PM	NNE 8.8 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 PM	N 10.1 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 PM	NNE 6.2 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 PM	ENE 5.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 PM	E 7.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 PM	SE 5.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 PM	ESE 6.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 PM	ESE 7.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 PM	ESE 7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 PM	ESE 6.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable

12 AMUnavailable

WindE 4.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 AMUnavailable

WindE 5.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 AMUnavailable

WindE 5.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 AMUnavailable

WindESE 5.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 AMUnavailable

WindE 5.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 AMUnavailable

WindESE 4.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 AMUnavailable

WindESE 4.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 AMUnavailable

WindESE 4.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 AMUnavailable

WindESE 4.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 AMUnavailable

WindESE 6.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 AMUnavailable

WindE 6.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 AMUnavailable

WindE 7.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

NoonUnavailable

WindE 7.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 PMUnavailable

WindENE 7.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 8.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 PMUnavailable

WindN 10.1 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 6.2 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 PMUnavailable

WindENE 5.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 PMUnavailable

WindE 7.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 PMUnavailable

WindSE 5.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 PMUnavailable

WindESE 6.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 PMUnavailable

WindESE 7.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 PMUnavailable

WindESE 7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 PMUnavailable

WindESE 6.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. USGS named Lake Ontario at Oswego coordinate anchors the catalog's city-level spot; NYZ006 explicitly includes the beaches of Oswego.

Mapped spot coordinate: 43.464235, -76.5113308.

Mainland United States · Lake Ontario south shore at Oswego · Ocean-facing bearing 0° · Location provenance

Model request point: Oswego (43.464235, -76.5113308). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_GREAT_LAKES · spot-level model point

NWS BUF · Oswego County beaches; official breaking-surf forecast textUnavailableCurrent · Sep 22, 4:04 PM EDT

NWS BUF · Oswego County beaches
NWS BUF · Oswego County beaches; Official NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneCurrentSep 22, 4:04 PM EDT
US National Weather Service Coastal Waters Forecast
Marine wind, seas, and hazards where SRF is absent; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
Tide predictions unavailable for the selected dayUnavailableNo source time
Environment Canada MSC GeoMet
Wind, weather, marine model fields, alerts; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.