Lake Erie and Ontario · Wednesday, Sep 23

Presque Isle Pennsylvania

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 8:30 PM EDT

When to go

Around 7:00 PM

Wind only · Low confidence

Wind forecast only

Wind: 6.4 kt · cross-shore

Surf height is unavailable. This choice is based on wind only.

Forecast details

This is the best time in the forecast, though wind may make it choppy.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

4:00 PM–6:00 PM · America/New_York
Unfavorable wind · up to 10.6 kt · reported gusts up to 15.6 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. The selected wind is unfavorable for this break.
Wave height unavailable for the full period. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:45 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind ESE 9.9 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swell— Unavailable No usable model swell value for this hour

Model windESE 9.9 ktoffshoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York8.7 kt offshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

NWS CLE · Northern Erie County beaches

Swim risk: Low. Wave height: 2 feet or less. Thunderstorm Potential**....None.

WEDNESDAYOfficial NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneIssued Sep 22, 3:55 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Presque Isle Pennsylvania
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	ENE 8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 AM	ENE 7.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 AM	ENE 6.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 AM	ENE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 AM	ENE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 AM	ENE 6.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 AM	ENE 6.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 AM	E 6.2 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 AM	ESE 9.9 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 AM	ESE 10 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 AM	E 9.3 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 AM	E 9.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
Noon	E 10.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 PM	ENE 10.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 PM	ENE 11 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 PM	ENE 10.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 PM	ENE 10.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 PM	E 10.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 PM	E 8.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 PM	ENE 6.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 PM	E 6 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 PM	E 6.4 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 PM	E 6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 PM	E 5.8 ktoffshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable

12 AMUnavailable

WindENE 8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 AMUnavailable

WindENE 7.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 AMUnavailable

WindENE 6.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 AMUnavailable

WindENE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 AMUnavailable

WindENE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 AMUnavailable

WindENE 6.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 AMUnavailable

WindENE 6.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 AMUnavailable

WindE 6.2 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 AMUnavailable

WindESE 9.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 AMUnavailable

WindESE 10 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 AMUnavailable

WindE 9.3 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 AMUnavailable

WindE 9.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

NoonUnavailable

WindE 10.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 PMUnavailable

WindENE 10.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 PMUnavailable

WindENE 11 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 PMUnavailable

WindENE 10.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 PMUnavailable

WindENE 10.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 PMUnavailable

WindE 10.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 PMUnavailable

WindE 8.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 PMUnavailable

WindENE 6.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 PMUnavailable

WindE 6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 PMUnavailable

WindE 6.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 PMUnavailable

WindE 6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 PMUnavailable

WindE 5.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. USGS monitoring location for Presque Isle East Beach 1 East; Pennsylvania DCNR confirms lakeside surfing and PAZ001 explicitly names Presque Isle.

Mapped spot coordinate: 42.1186111, -80.1527778.

Mainland United States · Lake Erie south-shore Presque Isle peninsula · Ocean-facing bearing 315° · Location provenance

Model request point: Presque Isle Pennsylvania (42.1186111, -80.1527778). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_GREAT_LAKES · spot-level model point

NWS CLE · Northern Erie County beaches; official breaking-surf forecast textUnavailableCurrent · Sep 22, 3:55 PM EDT

NWS CLE · Northern Erie County beaches
NWS CLE · Northern Erie County beaches; Official NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneCurrentSep 22, 3:55 PM EDT
US National Weather Service Coastal Waters Forecast
Marine wind, seas, and hazards where SRF is absent; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
Tide predictions unavailable for the selected dayUnavailableNo source time
Environment Canada MSC GeoMet
Wind, weather, marine model fields, alerts; market adapter or station mapping not connectedUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.