← Lake Michigan report

Lake Michigan · Wednesday, Sep 23

Muskegon

When to go

Around 7:00 PM

Wind only · Low confidence

Wind forecast only

Wind: 3.8 kt · offshore

Surf height is unavailable. This choice is based on wind only.

Forecast details
  • Light wind should keep the water smoother.
Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

  • 5:00 PM–7:00 PM · America/Detroit

    Moderate offshore wind · up to 8.6 kt · reported gusts up to 13.2 kt

    Wave height unavailable for the full period. Tide data unavailable.

    Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:45 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.
How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence
  • No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
  • Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
  • A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind ENE 12.1 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details
Offshore model swell— Unavailable No usable model swell value for this hour
Model windENE 12.1 ktoffshoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Detroit11.6 kt offshore component
TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated
NWS GRR · Muskegon County beaches

Swim risk: Low. Wave height: 1 to 3 feet.

WEDNESDAYOfficial NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zoneIssued Sep 22, 4:41 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Muskegon
TimeWindTideOffshore swell
ENE 11 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 11.5 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 11.6 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 10.8 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 11.7 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 12.4 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 12.8 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 12.6 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 12.1 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 12 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 11.5 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 10.5 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 9 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 9.5 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 9.7 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
E 10.6 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
E 9.4 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
E 8.6 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
E 7.1 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 3.8 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
NE 4.8 ktcross-shoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
NE 4.9 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 6.8 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
ENE 7.9 ktoffshoreUnavailableunavailable— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 11 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 11.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 11.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 10.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 11.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 12.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 12.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 12.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 12.1 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 12 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 11.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 10.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 9.5 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 9.7 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindE 10.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindE 9.4 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindE 8.6 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindE 7.1 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 3.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindNE 4.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindNE 4.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 6.8 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable
Unavailable
WindENE 7.9 ktoffshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Catalog city label anchored at the named Pere Marquette Park beach; NWS Muskegon section explicitly includes Pere Marquette Park.

Mapped spot coordinate: 43.222, -86.3342.

Mainland United States · Lake Michigan east shore · Ocean-facing bearing 270° · Location provenance

Model request point: Muskegon (43.222, -86.3342). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/2 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_GREAT_LAKES · spot-level model point

NWS GRR · Muskegon County beaches; official breaking-surf forecast textUnavailableCurrent · Sep 22, 4:41 PM EDT
  • NWS GRR · Muskegon County beaches
    NWS GRR · Muskegon County beaches; Official NWS beach-zone breaking-wave height and swim-risk forecast; conditions can vary within the named county beach zone
    Current
  • NOAA NDBC real-time station files
    Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.
    Not applicableNo source time
  • Open-Meteo Weather API
    1 of 1 configured model points available
    Current
  • Surf-Forecast public pages
    Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallback
    Not applicableNo source time
How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.