Lake Superior and Huron · Wednesday, Sep 23

Stoney Point

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 7:20 PM CDT

When to go

7:00 AM–9:00 AM

Wind only · Low confidence

Wind forecast only

Wind: 4.4 kt · cross-shore

Surf height is unavailable. This choice is based on wind only.

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

8:00 AM–10:00 AM · America/Chicago
Light wind · up to 5.8 kt · reported gusts up to 6.6 kt
Wave height unavailable for the full period. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 6:30 PM CDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind ENE 4.4 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swell— Unavailable No usable model swell value for this hour

Model windENE 4.4 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/Chicago1.2 kt onshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

NWS DLH · Two Harbors to Duluth

Southeast wind 5 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 feet.

WEDNESDAYOfficial NWS significant wave height forecast for waters within five nautical miles of shore; not breaking surf at the spotIssued Sep 22, 5:13 PM CDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Stoney Point
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NNE 7.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 AM	NE 7.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 AM	ENE 5.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 AM	SSW 1.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 AM	SE 0.3 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 AM	NE 0.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 AM	NNE 2.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 AM	ENE 3.9 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 AM	ENE 4.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 AM	E 4.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 AM	E 5.8 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 AM	E 6 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
Noon	E 6.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
1 PM	ENE 6.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
2 PM	ENE 8.4 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
3 PM	ENE 10.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
4 PM	ENE 11.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
5 PM	ENE 11.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
6 PM	ENE 11.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
7 PM	NE 10.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
8 PM	NE 8.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
9 PM	NE 6.8 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
10 PM	NE 6.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable
11 PM	NNE 4.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	— Unavailable

12 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 7.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 AMUnavailable

WindNE 7.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 AMUnavailable

WindENE 5.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 1.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 AMUnavailable

WindSE 0.3 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 AMUnavailable

WindNE 0.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 2.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 AMUnavailable

WindENE 3.9 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 AMUnavailable

WindENE 4.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 AMUnavailable

WindE 4.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 AMUnavailable

WindE 5.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 AMUnavailable

WindE 6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

NoonUnavailable

WindE 6.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

1 PMUnavailable

WindENE 6.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

2 PMUnavailable

WindENE 8.4 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

3 PMUnavailable

WindENE 10.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

4 PMUnavailable

WindENE 11.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

5 PMUnavailable

WindENE 11.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

6 PMUnavailable

WindENE 11.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

7 PMUnavailable

WindNE 10.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

8 PMUnavailable

WindNE 8.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

9 PMUnavailable

WindNE 6.8 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 6.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

11 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 4.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swell— Unavailable

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Reef break. Published named-break coordinate; southeast-facing lake exposure checked against NWS LSZ144 Two Harbors-to-Duluth nearshore waters.

Mapped spot coordinate: 46.9696, -91.7337.

Mainland United States · Lake Superior north shore · Ocean-facing bearing 135° · Location provenance

Model request point: Stoney Point (46.9696, -91.7337). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/2 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_GREAT_LAKES · spot-level model point

NWS DLH · Two Harbors to Duluth
NWS DLH · Two Harbors to Duluth; Official NWS significant wave height forecast for waters within five nautical miles of shore; not breaking surf at the spotCurrentSep 22, 5:13 PM CDT
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 6:30 PM CDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.