Long Island and New York City · Today

Ditch Plains

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 7:40 PM EDT

When to go

No clear pick yet

There is not enough current forecast information to choose a spot.

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What's missing?

No usable upcoming daylight wave or wind evidence is available. Check Tomorrow if today’s daylight has ended.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

No upcoming daytime sample has current, finite wind evidence.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 2.1 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind NE 18.1 kt

Tide 2 ft falling

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellESE 2.9 ft @ 6sValid 2026-09-22 20:00 · America/New_YorkMarine grid 41.0417, -71.8750 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea6.2 ft @ 5.7sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-22 20:00 · America/New_York

Model windNE 18.1 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-22 20:00 · America/New_York3.5 kt offshore component

Tide2 ftfallingMontauk station 8510560 · predicted height relative to MLLWRetrieved Sep 22, 7:46 PM EDT · provider issue time unavailable85% of adjacent local low–high range · descriptive, not a safety rating

Block Island buoy 44097 · currently publishing Atlantic observation southeast of Montauk7.2 ft @ 7sNDBC significant wave height from the reviewed seaward exposure; not breaking-wave face heightObserved Sep 22, 6:30 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Ditch Plains
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NNE 11.9 ktcross-shore	1 ftfalling	ESE 2.9 ft @ 6s
1 AM	NNE 11.6 ktcross-shore	0.5 ftrising	ESE 3.0 ft @ 6s
2 AM	NNE 12.7 ktcross-shore	1 ftrising	ESE 3.1 ft @ 6s
3 AM	NNE 13.3 ktcross-shore	1 ftrising	ESE 3.2 ft @ 6s
4 AM	NNE 13.7 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
5 AM	NNE 14.9 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
6 AM	NNE 15.4 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
7 AM	NNE 13.8 ktcross-shore	2 ftfalling	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
8 AM	NNE 15.1 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftfalling	ESE 3.2 ft @ 6s
9 AM	NNE 14.5 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftfalling	ESE 3.1 ft @ 6s
10 AM	NNE 16.4 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftfalling	ESE 3.0 ft @ 6s
11 AM	NNE 14.6 ktcross-shore	1 ftfalling	ESE 2.9 ft @ 7s
Noon	NE 15.6 ktcross-shore	1 ftfalling	ESE 3.0 ft @ 6s
1 PM	NE 14.5 ktcross-shore	1 ftrising	ESE 3.2 ft @ 6s
2 PM	NE 16.2 ktcross-shore	1 ftrising	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
3 PM	NNE 18.2 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	ESE 3.3 ft @ 6s
4 PM	NNE 17.8 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	ESE 3.4 ft @ 6s
5 PM	NE 17.7 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	ESE 3.4 ft @ 6s
6 PM	NNE 18.1 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	ESE 3.2 ft @ 6s
7 PM	NE 18.9 ktcross-shore	2.5 ftnear high	ESE 3.1 ft @ 6s
8 PM	NE 18.1 ktcross-shore	2 ftfalling	ESE 2.9 ft @ 6s
9 PM	NE 18.7 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftfalling	ESE 3.1 ft @ 6s
10 PM	NE 18 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftfalling	ESE 3.5 ft @ 6s
11 PM	NE 18.4 ktcross-shore	1 ftfalling	ESE 3.7 ft @ 6s

12 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 11.9 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 2.9 ft @ 6s

1 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 11.6 ktcross-shoreTide0.5 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.0 ft @ 6s

2 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 12.7 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.1 ft @ 6s

3 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 13.3 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 6s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 13.7 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 14.9 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 15.4 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

7 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 13.8 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

8 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 15.1 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 6s

9 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 14.5 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.1 ft @ 6s

10 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 16.4 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.0 ft @ 6s

11 AMUnavailable

WindNNE 14.6 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 2.9 ft @ 7s

NoonUnavailable

WindNE 15.6 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.0 ft @ 6s

1 PMUnavailable

WindNE 14.5 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 6s

2 PMUnavailable

WindNE 16.2 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

3 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 18.2 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 6s

4 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 17.8 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.4 ft @ 6s

5 PMUnavailable

WindNE 17.7 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.4 ft @ 6s

6 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 18.1 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 6s

7 PMUnavailable

WindNE 18.9 ktcross-shoreTide2.5 ftnear highOffshore swellESE 3.1 ft @ 6s

8 PMUnavailable

WindNE 18.1 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 2.9 ft @ 6s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNE 18.7 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.1 ft @ 6s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 18 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.5 ft @ 6s

11 PMUnavailable

WindNE 18.4 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftfallingOffshore swellESE 3.7 ft @ 6s

Tide

Montauk station 8510560 · MLLW

Interpolated tide height Recommended window

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Reef break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 41.04, -71.9.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 135° · Location provenance

Model request point: Ditch Plains (41.04, -71.9). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 4/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_EAST · spot-level model point

Official breaking-surf report not connected for Long Island and New York CityUnavailableUnavailable · Unavailable

US National Weather Service Surf Zone Forecast
No current NWS surf-zone period passed the explicit per-spot forecast-zone assignment.UnavailableNo source time
Block Island buoy 44097 · currently publishing Atlantic observation southeast of Montauk
Block Island buoy 44097 · currently publishing Atlantic observation southeast of Montauk; NDBC significant wave height from the reviewed seaward exposure; not breaking-wave face heightCurrentSep 22, 6:30 PM EDT
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
Montauk station 8510560; predicted high/low events above MLLW, converted to feet. Timestamp is retrieval time; provider issue time is not supplied.CurrentSep 22, 7:46 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.