New Jersey · Wednesday, Sep 23

Belmar

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 8:20 PM EDT

When to go

7:00 AM–9:00 AM

Strong wind — difficult conditions · Low confidence

9.1–9.6 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Strong wind: 19.3 kt · cross-shore

Cautions

Strong wind or gusts up to 28.4 kt can make the session difficult; being first in the list does not make conditions good.
Large waves are forecast. Choose conditions that suit your experience.
Strong wind or gusts up to 29.0 kt can make the session difficult; being first in the list does not make conditions good.
Strong wind or gusts up to 30.3 kt can make the session difficult; being first in the list does not make conditions good.

Forecast details

This is the best time in the forecast, though wind may make it choppy.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

8:00 AM–10:00 AM · America/New_York
Strong wind · up to 19.4 kt · reported gusts up to 30.3 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. Strong wind remains in the selected evidence.
Offshore waves: 9.4–9.7 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data unavailable.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:30 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 12.9 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 12 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
Tide unavailable: assessment incomplete, especially at shallow reef breaks.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind NE 18.2 kt

Tide Unavailable

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellESE 2.7 ft @ 9sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_YorkMarine grid 40.1250, -73.8750 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea9.4 ft @ 7.3sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York

Model windNE 18.2 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York11.2 kt onshore component

TideUnavailableunavailableNo verified local tide station connected; no tide height estimated

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Belmar
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	NE 17.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 2.8 ft @ 8s
1 AM	NE 15.7 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.2 ft @ 7s
2 AM	NE 16.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.6 ft @ 7s
3 AM	NE 16.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.4 ft @ 8s
4 AM	NE 16.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.3 ft @ 8s
5 AM	NE 17.1 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.1 ft @ 8s
6 AM	NE 16.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.0 ft @ 8s
7 AM	NE 17.6 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 2.8 ft @ 9s
8 AM	NE 18.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 2.7 ft @ 9s
9 AM	NE 19.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 2.9 ft @ 9s
10 AM	NE 19.4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.0 ft @ 9s
11 AM	NE 20.8 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.2 ft @ 9s
Noon	NE 21.5 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.4 ft @ 9s
1 PM	NE 22.4 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.6 ft @ 9s
2 PM	NE 20.9 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.8 ft @ 9s
3 PM	NE 22.7 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.9 ft @ 9s
4 PM	NE 21.5 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.9 ft @ 9s
5 PM	NE 21.6 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 3.9 ft @ 9s
6 PM	NE 21.9 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.1 ft @ 9s
7 PM	NE 20.3 ktonshore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.3 ft @ 9s
8 PM	NE 21.3 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 4.4 ft @ 9s
9 PM	NE 21.2 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 5.0 ft @ 9s
10 PM	NE 20.5 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 5.6 ft @ 9s
11 PM	NE 21 ktcross-shore	Unavailableunavailable	ESE 6.2 ft @ 9s

12 AMUnavailable

WindNE 17.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 2.8 ft @ 8s

1 AMUnavailable

WindNE 15.7 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 7s

2 AMUnavailable

WindNE 16.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.6 ft @ 7s

3 AMUnavailable

WindNE 16.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.4 ft @ 8s

4 AMUnavailable

WindNE 16.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.3 ft @ 8s

5 AMUnavailable

WindNE 17.1 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.1 ft @ 8s

6 AMUnavailable

WindNE 16.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.0 ft @ 8s

7 AMUnavailable

WindNE 17.6 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 2.8 ft @ 9s

8 AMUnavailable

WindNE 18.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 2.7 ft @ 9s

9 AMUnavailable

WindNE 19.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 2.9 ft @ 9s

10 AMUnavailable

WindNE 19.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.0 ft @ 9s

11 AMUnavailable

WindNE 20.8 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.2 ft @ 9s

NoonUnavailable

WindNE 21.5 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.4 ft @ 9s

1 PMUnavailable

WindNE 22.4 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.6 ft @ 9s

2 PMUnavailable

WindNE 20.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.8 ft @ 9s

3 PMUnavailable

WindNE 22.7 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.9 ft @ 9s

4 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21.5 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.9 ft @ 9s

5 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21.6 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 3.9 ft @ 9s

6 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21.9 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.1 ft @ 9s

7 PMUnavailable

WindNE 20.3 ktonshoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.3 ft @ 9s

8 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21.3 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 4.4 ft @ 9s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21.2 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 5.0 ft @ 9s

10 PMUnavailable

WindNE 20.5 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 5.6 ft @ 9s

11 PMUnavailable

WindNE 21 ktcross-shoreTideUnavailableunavailableOffshore swellESE 6.2 ft @ 9s

Tide

Local tide station unavailable

Tide predictions are unavailable for this period.

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach/jetty break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 40.16, -74.02.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 90° · Location provenance

Model request point: Belmar (40.16, -74.02). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 2/4 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_EAST · spot-level model point

Official breaking-surf report not connected for New JerseyUnavailableUnavailable · Unavailable

US National Weather Service Surf Zone Forecast
No current NWS surf-zone period passed the explicit per-spot forecast-zone assignment.UnavailableNo source time
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
Tide predictions unavailable for the selected dayUnavailableNo source time
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:30 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:30 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.