South Florida Atlantic · Wednesday, Sep 23

Reef Road

NWS MFL · FLZ168; official reef-face range: 1–1 ft

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 8:20 PM EDT

When to go

1:00 PM–2:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

1.5–1.5 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 4.6 kt · cross-shore

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

8:00 AM–10:00 AM · America/New_York
Light wind · up to 3.9 kt · reported gusts up to 7.6 kt
Offshore waves: 1.5–1.5 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data available; check the local tide response.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 7:45 PM EDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 16.8 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 12 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind SSE 3.9 kt

Tide 2 ft falling

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellNE 1.4 ft @ 6sValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_YorkMarine grid 26.7917, -79.8750 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea1.5 ft @ 7sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York

Model windSSE 3.9 ktcross-shoreValid 2026-09-23 08:00 · America/New_York1.8 kt onshore component

Tide2 ftfallingNOAA Lake Worth Pier, Atlantic Ocean 8722670 · 16.4 km from Reef Road · predicted height relative to MLLWRetrieved Sep 22, 8:29 PM EDT · provider issue time unavailable69% of adjacent local low–high range · descriptive, not a safety rating

NWS MFL · FLZ168

Rip Current Risk*...........Low. Surf Height.................Around 1 foot. Thunderstorm Potential**....High. Waterspout Risk**...........None. Weather.....................Partly sunny. Showers with thunderstorms likely. High Temperature............In the mid 80s. Winds.......................Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Tides... Lake Worth Pier..........High at 06:07 AM EDT. Low at 12:16 PM EDT. Sunrise.....................7:09 AM. Sunset......................7:17 PM.

WEDNESDAYOfficial breaking-surf height for Coastal Palm Beach; forecast-zone range, not a calibrated break transformationIssued Sep 22, 4:21 PM EDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Reef Road
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
12 AM	SE 3.9 ktonshore	1 ftnear low	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
1 AM	E 5.5 ktonshore	1 ftrising	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
2 AM	SE 3.5 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
3 AM	SSW 7.9 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
4 AM	SSW 7.5 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
5 AM	S 6.4 ktcross-shore	2.5 ftrising	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
6 AM	SSE 8.3 ktcross-shore	3 ftnear high	NE 1.4 ft @ 7s
7 AM	SE 7 ktonshore	2.5 ftfalling	NE 1.4 ft @ 6s
8 AM	SSE 3.9 ktcross-shore	2 ftfalling	NE 1.4 ft @ 6s
9 AM	S 2.7 ktcross-shore	2 ftfalling	NE 1.4 ft @ 6s
10 AM	SW 2.6 ktoffshore	1.5 ftfalling	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
11 AM	WNW 4.4 ktoffshore	1 ftfalling	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
Noon	NNW 6.5 ktcross-shore	0.5 ftnear low	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
1 PM	NNW 2 ktcross-shore	1 ftrising	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
2 PM	NNW 4.6 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
3 PM	N 6.8 ktcross-shore	1.5 ftrising	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
4 PM	NNE 9.3 ktcross-shore	2 ftrising	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
5 PM	N 6.7 ktcross-shore	2.5 ftrising	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
6 PM	N 7.3 ktcross-shore	3 ftnear high	NE 1.3 ft @ 6s
7 PM	NNE 6 ktcross-shore	3 ftfalling	NE 1.2 ft @ 6s
8 PM	NNE 2.4 ktcross-shore	2.5 ftfalling	NE 1.2 ft @ 6s
9 PM	NW 3.5 ktoffshore	2 ftfalling	NE 1.2 ft @ 6s
10 PM	WNW 4.5 ktoffshore	2 ftfalling	NE 1.2 ft @ 6s
11 PM	WNW 4.7 ktoffshore	1.5 ftfalling	NE 1.2 ft @ 7s

12 AMUnavailable

WindSE 3.9 ktonshoreTide1 ftnear lowOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

1 AMUnavailable

WindE 5.5 ktonshoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

2 AMUnavailable

WindSE 3.5 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

3 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 7.9 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

4 AMUnavailable

WindSSW 7.5 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

5 AMUnavailable

WindS 6.4 ktcross-shoreTide2.5 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

6 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 8.3 ktcross-shoreTide3 ftnear highOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 7s

7 AMUnavailable

WindSE 7 ktonshoreTide2.5 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 6s

8 AMUnavailable

WindSSE 3.9 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 6s

9 AMUnavailable

WindS 2.7 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.4 ft @ 6s

10 AMUnavailable

WindSW 2.6 ktoffshoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

11 AMUnavailable

WindWNW 4.4 ktoffshoreTide1 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

NoonUnavailable

WindNNW 6.5 ktcross-shoreTide0.5 ftnear lowOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

1 PMUnavailable

WindNNW 2 ktcross-shoreTide1 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

2 PMUnavailable

WindNNW 4.6 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

3 PMUnavailable

WindN 6.8 ktcross-shoreTide1.5 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

4 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 9.3 ktcross-shoreTide2 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

5 PMUnavailable

WindN 6.7 ktcross-shoreTide2.5 ftrisingOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

6 PMUnavailable

WindN 7.3 ktcross-shoreTide3 ftnear highOffshore swellNE 1.3 ft @ 6s

7 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 6 ktcross-shoreTide3 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.2 ft @ 6s

8 PMUnavailable

WindNNE 2.4 ktcross-shoreTide2.5 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.2 ft @ 6s

9 PMUnavailable

WindNW 3.5 ktoffshoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.2 ft @ 6s

10 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 4.5 ktoffshoreTide2 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.2 ft @ 6s

11 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 4.7 ktoffshoreTide1.5 ftfallingOffshore swellNE 1.2 ft @ 7s

Tide

NOAA Lake Worth Pier, Atlantic Ocean 8722670 · 16.4 km from Reef Road · MLLW

Interpolated tide height Recommended window

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Beach and reef break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 26.76, -80.04.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 90° · Location provenance

Model request point: Reef Road (26.76, -80.04). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 4/4 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier A · US_EAST · spot-level model point

NWS MFL · FLZ168; official reef-face range1–1 ftCurrent · Sep 22, 4:21 PM EDT

NWS MFL · FLZ168
NWS MFL · FLZ168; Official breaking-surf height for Coastal Palm Beach; forecast-zone range, not a calibrated break transformationCurrentSep 22, 4:21 PM EDT
NOAA NDBC real-time station files
Current buoy observations are not forecasts for the selected future date.Not applicableNo source time
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
NOAA Lake Worth Pier, Atlantic Ocean 8722670 · 16.4 km from Reef Road; predicted high/low events above MLLW, converted to feet. Timestamp is retrieval time; provider issue time is not supplied.CurrentSep 22, 8:29 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 7:45 PM EDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.