Washington Coast · Right now

Ocean Shores

Updated Tue, Sep 22, 5:20 PM PDT

When to go

Around 7:00 PM

Looks good · Low confidence

5.6–5.6 ft · Offshore waves · not face height

Wind: 4.6 kt · onshore

Forecast details

Light wind should keep the water smoother.

Other wind windows

Plan around the wind

The best available upcoming daylight wind sample to compare with the wave evidence. This compares wind only; wave size, tide suitability, and hazards can change your choice.

At 6:00 PM · America/Los_Angeles
Unfavorable wind · up to 6.3 kt · reported gusts up to 9.3 kt
Caution: This is the best available wind comparison, not a favorable-wind label. The selected wind is unfavorable for this break.
Offshore waves: 5.7–5.7 ft across the period. Surf height unavailable. Tide data available; check the local tide response.
Wind source time: Sep 22, 4:30 PM PDT. This is not the model run issue time.

How these periods are chosen

The planner prefers three consecutive hourly samples covering two daylight hours, but retains shorter one- or two-sample evidence when that is all the forecast provides. Light wind means at most 6 kt. Moderate offshore means at most 12 kt from land toward the sea when shore orientation is verified. Strong wind or known gusts of 20 kt or more remain visible as cautions instead of making the entire comparison disappear. These are comparison labels, not locally tested surf-quality or safety ratings. Missing gusts remain unknown. Terrain shelter, currents, closures, and your ability are not assessed.

Forecast confidence

Returned marine grid point is 3.2 km from the mapped spot. Provider grid resolution is not established for this response.
Reference model hour: 0 hours from now; historical residuals do not measure forecast lead-time error.
No accepted local model for these inputs: missing history, unsupported direction/period/height, or failed historical validation.
A mapped coordinate does not establish nearshore grid resolution or terrain/shelter accuracy.

Wind W 7 kt

Tide 3.5 ft rising

Wave, wind and tide details

Offshore model swellWNW 5.6 ft @ 9sValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_AngelesMarine grid 46.9583, -124.2083 · offshore model, not a local measurement

Offshore model sea5.8 ft @ 10.7sSignificant wave height including wind waves and swell; not breaking surfValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_Angeles

Model windW 7 ktonshoreValid 2026-09-22 17:00 · America/Los_Angeles7.0 kt onshore component

Tide3.5 ftrisingNOAA Westport 9441102 · predicted height relative to MLLWRetrieved Sep 22, 5:29 PM PDT · provider issue time unavailable7% of adjacent local low–high range · descriptive, not a safety rating

NWS SEW · PZZ156

SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave Detail: W 6 ft at 11 seconds and SW 2 ft at 17 seconds. A slight chance of rain after midnight. A chance of rain late.

TONIGHTOfficial significant wave-height forecast for Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 NM; not breaking surf at the named spotIssued Sep 22, 2:44 PM PDT

CAPE ELIZABETH - 45NM NW of Aberdeen, WA buoy 460417.5 ft @ 11sNDBC measured significant wave height (Hs) at the explicitly assigned same-coast buoy; not breaking-wave face heightObserved Sep 22, 4:50 PM PDT

Surf height unavailable. Coastal and offshore waves are not breaking-wave heights.

Surf and wind

Recommended window: No recommended window

Breaking surf is not reliably resolved. Hourly offshore swell and wind inputs are listed below.

Hourly forecast

Hourly surf forecast for Ocean Shores
Time	Wind	Tide	Offshore swell
5 PM	W 7 ktonshore	3.5 ftrising	WNW 5.6 ft @ 9s
6 PM	W 6.3 ktonshore	4.5 ftrising	WNW 5.5 ft @ 9s
7 PM	WNW 4.6 ktonshore	5 ftrising	WNW 5.4 ft @ 9s
8 PM	WSW 2.6 ktonshore	6 ftrising	WNW 5.3 ft @ 8s

5 PMUnavailable

WindW 7 ktonshoreTide3.5 ftrisingOffshore swellWNW 5.6 ft @ 9s

6 PMUnavailable

WindW 6.3 ktonshoreTide4.5 ftrisingOffshore swellWNW 5.5 ft @ 9s

7 PMUnavailable

WindWNW 4.6 ktonshoreTide5 ftrisingOffshore swellWNW 5.4 ft @ 9s

8 PMUnavailable

WindWSW 2.6 ktonshoreTide6 ftrisingOffshore swellWNW 5.3 ft @ 8s

Tide

NOAA Westport 9441102 · MLLW

Interpolated tide height Recommended window

About this spot

Model-grid forecast requested at the mapped coordinate; reef, headland, and nearshore transformations are unresolved. Breakwater break.

Mapped spot coordinate: 46.97, -124.17.

Mainland · Coast not verified · Ocean-facing bearing 270° · Location provenance

Model request point: Ocean Shores (46.97, -124.17). Model output times describe valid conditions; the provider does not expose the model run issue time in this response.

Forecast sources

Data coverage 5/5 sources

Source availability is not forecast accuracy. Where an empirical model passes historical testing, its error and interval coverage are shown above. Source count cannot increase that confidence.

Coverage tier B · US_PNW_WA · spot-level model point

NWS SEW · PZZ156
NWS SEW · PZZ156; Official significant wave-height forecast for Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 NM; not breaking surf at the named spotCurrentSep 22, 2:44 PM PDT
CAPE ELIZABETH - 45NM NW of Aberdeen, WA buoy 46041
CAPE ELIZABETH - 45NM NW of Aberdeen, WA buoy 46041; NDBC measured significant wave height (Hs) at the explicitly assigned same-coast buoy; not breaking-wave face heightCurrentSep 22, 4:50 PM PDT
NOAA CO-OPS Tides and Currents API
NOAA Westport 9441102; predicted high/low events above MLLW, converted to feet. Timestamp is retrieval time; provider issue time is not supplied.CurrentSep 22, 5:29 PM PDT
Open-Meteo Marine API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Open-Meteo Weather API
1 of 1 configured model points availableCurrentSep 22, 4:30 PM PDT
Surf-Forecast public pages
Spot discovery and break-specific HTML fallbackNot applicableNo source time
Surfline public spot pages
Break-specific comparison, cams, and metadataNot applicableNo source time

How best guesses are made

Best guesses combine usable wave and wind evidence, with qualitative confidence and specific limitations. A missing tide or local surf-height model does not prevent useful guidance. Tide levels use the named station datum; their effect at this break remains uncertain. Wind direction is relative to the mapped beach orientation, without calibrated terrain or shelter effects. The comparison is a heuristic, not a measured quality rating.